Weather synopsis: Wednesday November 3

2:08am the brisk chill that has enveloped the Northeast has certainly reminded us that the anticipated winter season is well underway. On the evening of Halloween portions of the Northeast experienced a taste of winter as an upper level low pressure system produced enough instability with in the atmosphere to produce precipitation; the cold air mass in place across western New York was chilly enough to support a light mixture of Sleet/Snow/Rain for a duration of approximately 30 minutes to an hour. Now, atmospheric dynamics are in motion and yet another blast of cold air gets ready to be injected in to the eastern portion of the United States from the north. This shot of cold air will trail a cold front that will be moving south from Canada on Thursday November 4th. As this cold front plunges south, a Low Pressure System over the Gulf of Mexico states will ride along the Jet Stream. The Jet Stream will be oriented much like it would during a Nor'easter during the winter; the only difference is that, though it will be cold, the coldest air will not have reached the coast in time to support a significant snow event for the major cities of the Northeast. However, there is a good chance of seeing light snow flurries once this coastal storm pulls away. This will allow a dense cold air mass to infiltrate the Northeast from the north towards the south. Winds will be gusting between 35 and 45 miles per hour from Friday in to Saturday, this flow will be conducive for the development of Lake Effect Snow. These Lake Effect Snow squalls will likely reach all the way to the coast producing very light Snow Flurries perhaps in to New York City, at this time no accumulation is expected. As you head further north towards the Great Lakes, here it is likely to receive a dusting of snow on grassy surfaces and cars. There is the potential to see a few inches of snow in some regions along the Great Lakes where these Lake Effect Snow squalls are most persistent. The precipitation will persist through the day on Saturday November 6th before settling down. NCEP forecast models indicate that a warm up should follow this small winter blast early next week before yet another shot of cold air arrives towards the latter portion of next week.