11:59pm today was a mild November day as temperatures climbed up to the 60s - Persistent showers and rumbles of thunder earlier on Monday affected a good portion of the Northeast; these were attributed to a warm front that swept the region and introduced a warm, moist air mass. The gears are in motion for a shift in the weather pattern as we progress through the course of the Thanks Giving week. This shift will occur in stages, the first of which will take place Tuesday. Unsettled weather will return to the Northeast as a cold front passes by, initiating heavy rain over western New York during the morning hours. This line of showers will work its way east through the day; behind the cold front temperatures will drop from the 50s and 60s to the 30s and 40s. A better day will be in store on Wednesday despite the cold temperatures. By the latter portion of the week, the next storm system will usher in the next stage in the weather pattern shift. On Thursday; Thanks Giving Day, temperatures will moderate somewhat and a chilly rain will break out across the Northeast a head of an approaching cold front. Once this secondary cold front passes on the evening of Thanks Giving, a strong and cold wind will be oriented over the Great Lakes producing the first wide spread Lake Effect Snow event of the season. An accumulating snowfall is likely east of Lake Erie on Friday with the steadiest snows expected to fall just south of Buffalo. The snow will fly through Saturday. A secondary Lake Effect Snow Squall will develop over Lake Ontario on Saturday and will likely produce the greatest amounts of snow accumulation over the Allegheny Plateau. The long range forecast for the month of December calls for a cold and snowy start to the month across the Northeast just in time for the end-of-semester hustle and bustle across most Colleges and Universities, the latter part of the month of December is looking to be moderating, temperature wise, before a deep freeze rounds up the end of the year.
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