At 11am the temperature in the Bronx is 38°F with clearing skies. An Upper level Low pressure system has produced some light precipitation this morning, mostly in the form of rain as temperatures were above freezing. This system will feature an associated cold front that will sweep the region today, so don't expect the mild conditions we've enjoyed yesterday to continue today. In fact, temperatures will likely be falling steadily through the day. Low temperatures tonight should bottom out in the upper teens to lower twenties. The departing upper-level Low combined with a High pressure system in its wake will create a tight pressure gradient developing breezy conditions today and tomorrow making it feel much colder than the actual air temperature. Winds will be steady at 25-35MPH with higher gusts. Looking ahead, NCEP forecast models have been indicating a coastal storm developing potentially near the New Year holiday. The exact track and intensity of this system is rather uncertain at this time, as is the case with many North Eastern winter storms, if this storm veers just 50 miles to the east or west of the projected storm track it can mean the difference between a classic Nor'easter with snow and wind or a cold rain on January 1st. The storm track will determine the exact position of the 32° line. At this point in time it is too early to make a precise forecast of how this coastal storm will transpire, however it is likely that we will have a coastal storm brewing on New Years day. As of current forecast model analysis, the precipitation should hold off until after the Ball Drop in Time Square but it will be cold nevertheless so bundle up.
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