Significant Storm Possible Next Monday - Update Wednesday 2/26/14

This relentless winter continues its grip through this week, and will persist on into next week with more bitter cold and wintry precipitation. Snow this morning will give way to sunshine this afternoon, but it will remain cold with highs below the freezing mark. The cold temperatures will stick through the weekend with some snow flurries possible tomorrow afternoon. The sunshine will return on Friday, but it will be deceiving as it will be bitterly cold with high temperatures struggling to reach the lower 20s.

The next big storm that I will be monitoring will be on Monday, as a storm system will traverse the country and move into the dense arctic air mass in place over the Northeast. The storm will be riding on the southern branch of the jet stream and will bring much needed moisture to the state of California which has been enduring severe drought conditions, however though it will bring some drought relief this system will likely bring the threat of flash flooding and mudslides for Californians.

As this system pushes east, it will produce a slew of dangerous weather on its track ranging from severe thunder storms over the southern states to wintry precipitation over the Midwest and on into New England. As it stands, there is a potential for a significant snow accumulation for our area on Monday March 3rd. We are still several days away from this and better information will be available to fine tune this forecast.

Storm Total Snowfall Through Friday Morning

(Click Image Above To Expand)

Nationa Weathre Service's Storm Imapct Summary

(Click To Expand Image)

AccuWeather's Bernie Rayno Breaks Down This Weeks Potential Winter Storm 2/11/14

 

 National Weather Service Projected Snowfall Totals For
Thursday February 13th 2014
(Click Image Above To Expand)

Updated National Weather Service Total Snowfall Forcast

(Click Image Above To Expand)

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the Tri-state area, which is in effect until 7pm. A Rain/Snow mix began falling around 4am, and quickly changed over to a wet snow just in time for the morning rush hour. Snow will continue to fall through the early afternoon, and will begin to wind down during the evening rush hour, tapering off before 5pm this evening. As of 12 noon snow accumulations have averaged between 3 and 5 inches so far over Long Island and the five boroughs. An additional 2-4 inches will be likely before the storm pulls away from the area bringing the total snow amounts to 5-9 inches, with lesser amounts as you head north away from the city.

We will see a lull in precipitation during most of the day on Tuesday. However there will be yet another storm system moving into the area during the overnight hours on Tuesday night that is going to produce messy travel conditions on Wednesday. This next system is likely to bring more wintry weather with a potentially significant amount of snow and ice for the Tri-state area. For this reason, the National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Weather Synopsis: Sunday February 2nd 2014

 (Click Image Above To Expand)

This is my first post in about six months, feels good to get back on the weather horse. I could not have picked a more fitting day to return than today, Groundhog Day. Earlier today in the town of Punxsutawney Pennsylvania Americas most famous meteorologist, a groundhog named Phil, has seen his shadow predicting six more weeks of winter. If tomorrows forecast is any testament to the groundhog's prediction then he's right on the mark. The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for for the Tri-state area where up to 7 inches of snow are possible by tomorrow evening. A storm system will be moving in from the west spreading moisture into the Midatlantic and southern New England. Precipitation will initially fall as a mixture of rain and snow, however there will be just enough cold air in place that the precipitation will fall as a light to moderate wet snow. General snow accumulations will vary by location Expect 1-3 inches along the immediate coast and eastern Long Island, 4-6 inches for central and western Long Island, the five boroughs, and Westchester, and up to 7 inches as you head south and west away from the city. In terms of timing, precipitation will break out around 6 am just in time for the morning rush and gradually pick up in intensity through the early afternoon, ending by the evening rush hour around 5 pm.