Big Time Lake Effect Snow To Ring In 2012

The National Weather Service in Cheektowaga, NY has issued a Lake Effect Snow Warning for western New York State downwind of lakes Erie and Ontario beginig Sunday evening January 1st. This is in anticipation of a sharp cold front that is swinging through the region. Ahead of the front temperatures will soar into the upper 40's while behind the front temperatures will be in the teens and twenties. This artic blast will be accompanied by Gale force winds in excess of 40 miles per hour with gusts as high as 65 miles per hour. The cold wind over the unfrozen, relatively warm lake waters is expected to produce the first significant Lake Effect Snow event of this winter season. Initially rain will fall, quickly changing to snow after the passage of the cold front late Sunday afternoon. Heavy snow in combination with strong winds will produce blizzard conditions with significant blowing and drifting snow and near zero visibilities. Snowfall rates between 2 to 3 inches per hour are expected with in the lake snow bands. In Buffalo, the heaviest snow should fall Sunday evening through early Monday morning with a secondary round of snow expected on Wednesday. Snow accumulations could range between 4 inches to 1 foot by the time the snow subsides on Wenesday evening from Niagara Falls to the Buffalo south towns. Areas south of Buffalo as well as downwind of Lake Ontatario could recieve between 1 and 3 feet of snow by Wenesday evening. In addition to the snow and wind, the strong gales are expected to produce a surge of water along the leeward lake shores leading to coastal flooding.

Prospects For Snow Tuesday Night

The Northeastern US has been under a snow drought this season. Temperatures have been running well above normal through the fall and so far through the winter as well. This time last year we were dealing with much colder temperatures and the monster blizzard along the coast that paralyzed the megalopolis from D.C. to Philly, NYC and Boston. This year however, we haven't had much to talk about in the way of snow and cold. However, it does appear as if that is slowly about to change as several opportunities for snow are on the horizon for the Northeast over the next two weeks. I'm monitoring a storm system that will enter the picture on Tuesday producing rain for the Northeast along the coast; temperatures should be cold enough away from the coast across interior sections of the Northeast that rain can change to snow on Tuesday night. While a steady rain will fall east of Interstate 81 from eastern Pennsylvania to the Atlantic coast, snow can be expected across western Pennsylvania and upstate New York into northern New England. 1-3 inches of snow will be common across western New York and Pennsylvania with higher amounts between 6-12 inches across the higher terrain of northern New York State and Vermont by Wednesday morning as the storm system moves away from the region leaving behind a much colder air mass in its wake.

Snowfall Totals 12/09/11

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************


NEW YORK

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

--DUNKIRK: 2.0 inches 1010 PM 12/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...ERIE COUNTY...

--NW AMHERST: 3.0 inches 1100 AM 12/09 WIVB

--E AMHERST: 2.7 inches 1100 AM 12/09 NWS EMPLOYEE

--NNE TONAWANDA: 2.5 inches 1207 PM 12/09 COCORAHS

--S AKRON: 2.4 inches 1043 PM 12/09 COCORAHS

--S DERBY: 2.0 inches 720 PM 12/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...NIAGARA COUNTY...

--NORTH TONAWANDA: 4.3 inches 1201 AM 12/10 CO-OP OBSERVER

--NNW NORTH TONAWAND: 3.9 inches 1044 PM 12/09 COCORAHS

--ENE LOCKPORT: 3.9 inches 1030 AM 12/09 COCORAHS

--SSW SANBORN: 3.5 inches 1125 AM 12/09 PUBLIC

--NIAGARA FALLS INTL A: 3.3 inches 100 PM 12/09 CO-OP OBSERVER

--SSE SOUTH LOCKPORT: 3.0 inches 700 AM 12/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

--SANBORN 3.0 inches 420 PM 12/09 PUBLIC

--NE LOCKPORT: 2.5 inches 625 AM 12/09 COCORAHS

--NORTH HARTLAND: 2.0 inches 815 AM 12/09 WIVB

A Meteorological Bust

The Lake Effect snow that was anticipated from Thursday through Friday was a meteorological bust to say the least. Snow accumulations ranged between 1.2 inches at the airport to 3.9 inches in Niagara Falls, a far cry from the 9.0+ inches that were forecast initially. The National Weather Service in Cheektowaga had to down grade its Lake Effect Snow Warning to an Advisory on Friday morning after less favorable Lake Effect conditions became apparent. The Lake Effect snow did not get cranking until around 6:00AM Friday morning; nearly eight hours later than anticipated, and it was confined to Niagara county and the Buffalo north towns for the most part. Accumulations were limited mainly to grassy surfaces and automobiles. Nevertheless, this was the first wide spread snow event of the season for the snow deprived city of Buffalo. Lake Erie is still fairly warm, the latest observations measured a lake temperature of 45 degrees Fahrenheit, well above average for this time of the year. I have a hunch that we are not done with Lake Effect Snow just yet.

EF2 Tornado Near Fredonia, NY on 11/14/11

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Hybrid Storm System Update 11/10

Tropical Storm Sean has developed over the Atlantic. This was a hybrid storm initially that developed off of a Mid-latitude Cyclone that acquired Tropical Storm characteristics over the warm subtropical waters of the Atlantic off the Southeastern US coast, north of the greater Antilles. An elevated rip current threat and rough surf can be expected from the east coast of Florida to the outer banks of North Carolina. This system is forecast to loose its tropical characteristics, becoming extra tropical as it moves into the cooler waters of the north Atlantic Ocean. A part of this storm's energy will be absorbed by a strong cold front that will move east on Thursday November 10th. This phase between systems will likely enhance precipitation over eastern New England on Veterans Day this Friday November 11. Tropical Storm Sean is the 18th named system so far to spawn from the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

October Nor'easter Snowfall Totals

Connecticut

--Bristol: 17.0 inches

--East Farmington Heights: 13.0 inches

--Manchester: 9.0 inches

New Hampshire

--Hillsboro: 21.5 inches

--Peterborough: 24.0 inches

--Jaffrey: 31.4 inches

Maine

--Bridgton: 17.5 inches

--Gray: 12.9 inches

--Otisfield: 14.0 inches

Massachusetts

--Plainfield: 30.8 inches

--Ashfield: 25.5 inches

--Worthington: 24.0 inches

--Goshen: 25.0 inches

New York

--Harriman: 16.0 inches

--Armonk: 12.5 inches

--Yankee Lake: 16.5 inches

--White Plains: 7.5 inches

--Yonkers: 7.0 inches

--Bronx: 6.0 inches

--Massapequa: 3.28 inches

--Central Park: 2.9 inches

--Ronkonkoma: 1.90 inches

Pennsylvania

--Laurel Summit: 12.2 inches

--Freeland: 13.0 inches

--Mount Cobb: 12.7 inches

--Hazeleton: 16.0 inches

New Jersey

--West Milford: 19.0 inches

--North Caldwell: 12.0 inches

--Ringwood: 10.5 inches

Northeast Snowtober?

Rumors of snow are running rampant over the Northeastern US. Its hard to believe that accumulating snow can fall in the month of October in the Northeast but that is what is in the forecast. A dynamic weather pattern that is more typical for December is taking precedence beginning with the passage of a cold front that is ushering in a much colder air mass. This is changing rain to snow across interior sections of the Northeast on Thursday October 27th. Snow accumulations on the order of around 3 inches can be expected over northern Pennsylvania, central New York State and into central New England with greater amounts over the higher elevations. Rain is expected elsewhere in the Northeast during this time. This first system moves out by Friday October 28th leaving behind a dense cold air mass over the region. This will set the stage for a secondary storm scenario on Saturday that could produce a heavy wet accumulating snow over the megalopolis along the I-95 corridor of the Northeast.

A storm system responsible for dumping over 6 inches of wet snow in Denver will race eastward along the polar Jet stream. This storm is forecast to rapidly intensify off the Midatlantic coast on Saturday. With cold air already in place this could set the stage for an early snow storm on Saturday night from Washington DC to Boston. Details of the exact track of this potential storm are rather uncertain at this point, but I think there will be rain to start. Then as this system strengthens enough cold air will be dragged in to change the precipitation to a heavy wet snow all the way down to the coast. With the convection anticipated with this storm system, thunder and lightning will also accompany the precipitation. The potential for up to 6 inches of snow for New York City and western Long Island is not out of the question. If this transpires, expect widespread power outages as most trees are still wearing their leaves, when you add this heavy wet snow and 40 miles per hour wind gusts these trees will come down knocking out power for many residents.

Hurricane Rina Update 10/25/11

Hurricane Rina, the 17th named system and the 5th hurricane of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season is churning over the warm waters of the western Caribbean Sea. Rina is on the precipice of category 2-3 intensity on the Saffir-simpson hurricane scale with a minimum central pressure of 970 millibars and maximum sustained wind speeds of 110 miles per hour as of the 7pm advisory on October 25th from the National Hurricane Center. The forecast is for a strengthening system as it crawls north westward towards Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula. Hurricane Rina is expected to have a direct impact on the Yucatan on Thursday October 27th. There after, Rina is expected to move into the Gulf of Mexico where it will pose a threat to central and southern Florida. There are uncertainties on the track of Rina as it could plow into south Florida or loop south towards Cuba. Either way, Hurricane Rina is expected to move into an unfavorable region in the Gulf of Mexico where it will encounter strong wind shear aloft, this will prevent Rina form maintaining strength and even weaken the system all together from a hurricane down to a tropical storm.

The State of The Hurricane Season

The 2011 Atlantic Hurricane season has unfolded to be an active one for tropical storm formation. To date, a total 16 named storms have been tallied over the Atlantic Ocean, 5 of these reached Hurricane strength. The following is a list of Hurricanes of the 2011 season in chronological order:

1- Hurricane Irene (08/20-08/29) Maximum sustained wind speeds of 120 miles per hour and a minimum central pressures of 942 millibars, a category 3 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. Hurricane Irene is the landmark storm of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane season due to its direct impact to the eastern United States. Hurricane Irene affected the Greater Antilles as a slow moving Tropical Storm producing torrential rains over Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic. The storm gained strength and made a direct landfall over the Bahamas as a category 2-3 Hurricane. Hurricane Irene made its first landfall in the U.s. over the coast of North Carolina as a category 2 storm. The storm made a second and third landfall over the Jersey shore and New York harbor as a category 1 storm. The storm claimed over 40 lives, damages are estimated to range in the billions.

2- Hurricane Katia (08/29-09/10) Maximum sustained wind speeds of 135 miles per hour and a minimum central pressure of 946 millibars, a category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. Hurricane Katia was largely a marine interest as this storm system remained well away from any land. The storm did produce large swells up and down the east coast of the U.S. as it moved over the open waters of the North Atlantic.

3- Hurricane Maria (09/06-09/16) Maximum sustained wind speeds of 80 miles per hour and a minimum central pressure of 979 millibars, a category 1 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. The storm impacted the Lesser Antilles with tropical rained and storm force winds. The storm gained strength as it moved in to a more favorable region in the Atlantic side swiping Bermuda with rain and gusty winds. Eventually as the storm lost its tropical characteristics it impacted Nova Scottia as an extra tropical storm.

4- Hurricane Ophelia (09/21-10/03) Maximum sustained wind speeds of 140 miles per hour and a minimum central pressure of 940 millibars, a category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. Hurricane Ophelia in the strongest storm to spawn from the 2011 Hurricane season. Ophelia impacted the Lesser Antilles as a storm before curving sharply towards the north. The storm intensified rapidly to a category 4 barely missing Bermuda to the east. Hurricane Ophelia became extra tropical over the cooler waters of the North Atlantic and made landfall over Nova Scottia.

5- Hurricane Philippe (09/24-10/08) Maximum sustained wind speeds of 90 miles per hour and a minimum central pressure of 976 millibars. This storm was largely influenced by upper level winds as it meandered about over the open waters of the Atlantic. The storm was ultimately sheered apart by front and eventually dissipated.

Eventhough we have passed the peak of the Hurricane season, we can still expect development in the tropics well through October and November. Forecast models indicate trpocal storm development is still likely as we progress through late October.

Cyclone Genesis of Irene 2011

Tropical Cyclone Irene

Tropical Cyclone Irene is expected to make landfall over the Carolinas this weekend as a major Hurricane, it is anticipated to reach category 3 classification on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale, a major Hurricane with winds as high as 130 miles per hour and significant storm surge. The storm will accelerate, racing up the east coast of the United States as it encounters the Gulf Stream. Tropical Storm and Hurricane force gales will impact the eastern seaboard this weekend into early next week from the Carolinas to Long Island, Cape Cod and perhaps Maine. Major Hurricane wind damage is expected across coastal North Carolina. After Irene makes landfall over eastern North Carolina the storm will weaken some what taking aim at Long Island as a full blown Category 1 or 2 Hurricane. Winds blowing 50 miles per hour or better are anticipated from the Jersey shore to eastern Long Island where the strongest wind gusts will blow up to 100 miles per hour. This will be a particularly dangerous situation because the potential wind damage will be amplified by the wide spread flooding possibility. This storm system will generate up to one foot of rain over already saturated grounds. The supersaturated ground will weaken many trees at their roots, easily topping over in winds over 50 miles per hour. There is a high potential for wide spread flooding and long periods of power outages. The time to prepare is now, especially if you live in a flood prone area. The most severe conditions will be felt along the coast. Significant beach erosion, high surf, and a 4-10 foot storm surge will lead to major coastal flooding from Cape Hatteras to Cape Cod including coastal New Jersey, New York Harbor,the Long Island Sound, the Harlem, East and Hudson Rivers in New York City - and especially the south shore of Long Island - Jamaica Bay, the Rockaways, Long Beach, Robert Moses Beach, Fire Island, the Great South Bay, Smith's Point, Moriches, the Hamptons, Shelter Island and Montauk Point.

Tropical Cyclone Emily

Phoenix Sandstorm - July 5, 2011

A massive sandstorm engulfed the city of Phoenix in Arizona on Tuesday July 5th. Although sandstorms are not uncommon in that region,the dimensions of this particular event were staggering. This massive wall of sand reached a height of over 5,280 feet into the atmosphere and a maximum width extending nearly 100 miles reducing visibilities to zero. The ongoing drought in the south western United States has contributed to this phenomenon. Strong downdrafts associated with a thunderstorm complex that had developed to the east of the city of Phoenix that evening picked up this mass of dust and sand more than one mile high. 60 mile per hour winds rolled the screen of sand a distance over 150 miles enveloping everything in its path.

Hot!

Rain Sticks Around 5/15/11

Rain will continue in earnest this week. A low pressure system is moving ever so slowly through the Northeast. Inundations are expected as the flooding rains stick around through Thursday putting a damper on outdoor plans. The weather should improve by this weekend as this system finally pulls out of the region.

Weather synopsis: Monday May 2

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4:20pm a cold front draped over the Appalachians provided the cloudy weather over the Northeast today. Ahead of the front temperatures climbed through the 60s. Behind the front temperatures where held down into the 40s and 50s by low clouds and drizzle. On Tuesday, a storm system will ride north along this frontal boundary towards the Northeast. This will produce a steady rain generally to the west of the Appalachians over the Great Lakes; however precipitation should hold off along the Atlantic with the exception of a few pop up thunderstorms during the evening. Tuesday's temperatures will vary greatly depending on which side of the cold front you are situated. Ahead of the frontal boundary temperatures will soar well into the 70s approaching 80 degrees Fahrenheit in some cases along the Atlantic seaboard. Behind the cold front temperatures will once again be held down by clouds and rain barely pushing 50 degrees over western New York State and the Great Lakes. The cold front will push through the entire region on Wednesday increasing the chance of showers for the entire Northeast. Conditions should improve by Thursday, expect more sunshine than clouds to start with temperatures approaching 60 degrees. Mostly cloudy skies on Friday will give way to partly-to-mostly sunny skies on Saturday. It should turn out to be a pleasant spring day on Saturday, great baseball weather with temperatures once again hoovering around the 60 degree mark.

Weather synopsis: Sunday April 17

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11:31am cold air today rushing in over the unfrozen Great Lakes has produced a light wintry mix of wet snow, sleet and rain downwind of Lake Erie with less than 1" of accumulations expected - meanwhile more tranquil and milder weather can be found along the Atlantic seaboard with temperatures approaching 60 degrees. Winds have been a factor today over the Northeast today gusting over 50 miles per hour. Chilly conditions will linger across the interior Northeast as we head into Monday with another chance of a quick burst of rain and snow over the Great Lakes - conditions along the Atlantic coast should remain mild and tranquil. The next big chance of precipitation will arrive Tuesday into Wednesday. Temperatures should moderate on Wednesday approaching 60 degrees, though it will be mild, there could be enough instability in the atmosphere to produce embedded thunderstorms. Temperature will cool off after Wednesday - this will be especially true over the Great Lakes on Thursday as temperatures fall back into the 40s for day time Highs, it should remain mild though away from the Great Lakes along the Atlantic coast with temperatures in the 60s.

Weather synopsis: Friday April 15

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12:54pm a pleasant Friday afternoon is greeting the Northeast today. Temperatures today will run just a degree or two below the average for today's date. A dome of high pressure over the Canadian province of Quebec is responsible for the brilliant sunshine today over the Northeastern US. This will be short lived as the next storm system begins to impact the region late this evening, rain will reach the coast by Saturday. A soaking, heavy rain is anticipated with the onset of this system putting a damper on most Saturday outdoor activities. Behind this system, colder air will rush in over the unfrozen Great Lakes- a light wintry mix of wet snow and sleet could fall Saturday night into Sunday downwind of Lakes Erie. The extended outlook calls for moderating temperatures mid next week along with more rain Tuesday.

Weather synopsis: Wednesday April 6

12:00am after a long, cold and snowy winter the Northeast is finally about to catch a nice break from the big chill beginning this weekend. First we will have to get through the rest of the week. The phrase "April showers" rings true as yet another rain maker looms on the horizon. Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast on Wednesday and Thursday along with a scattered shower - high temperatures will range in the 40s on Wednesday and 50s on Thursday. Then a storm system moves into the region on Friday with a threat of more heavy rain, at the moment I think this system will pass just far enough to the south that it should spare us from the brunt of the precipitation. After this storm moves out, a warm air mass will surge into the Northeast. High temperatures on Saturday could approach the 60s and warmer still on Sunday easily breaking 70 degrees, I think that it could end up being even warmer than that, its gonna feel like summer on Sunday. There could be some scattered pop-up thunderstorms on Sunday. Another warm day is forecast for Monday, with more scattered thunderstorms likely across western New York State as the next storm system reaches the western fringes of the Northeast.

Weather synopsis: Tuesday April 5

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Weather synopsis: Saturday April 2

10:07am April is not fooling around, opening up with a Nor'easter that produced heavy rain, snow and strong winds across the region. That storm has departed the Northeast but April is just getting started. We can expect marginally warmer temperatures as well as more heavy rain this month beginning early this week - a storm system charging eastward this up coming week will produce unsettled weather on Monday and Tuesday over the Northeast. There could be enough instability in the atmosphere to produce a squall line of thunderstorms across the region. This storm system will move out quickly, temperatures will range in the 40s ans 50s during the middle of the week with partly to mostly cloudy skies. After this first storm system early next week, the next chance of precipitation will arrive during the later portion of next week, likely in the form of heavy rain and thunderstorms.

Precipitation Forecast Through Friday Evening

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Weather synopsis: Tuesday March 29

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11:11pm

Weather synopsis: Sunday March 27

12:31pm the Northeast has dodged a bullet this weekend as a storm system passes to the south of the region. A streak of fair but cool weather will continue for the early part of this week, high temperatures will range in the 30s and 40s. Unsettled weather is forecast to return late this week. Rain and snow showers are in the forecast on Thursday. I am monitoring a potential coastal storm possible on Friday and Saturday to affect the Northeastern seaboard. We are still days away from this weekend, a better forecast will be made available as the time frame approaches.

Weather synopsis: Monday March 21

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6:16pm our premature Spring fever has come to an end, the battle between winter cold and spring warmth continues with the on set of another cold snap that will influence our temperatures through the rest of this week. Along with cooler temperatures, a threat for a rain and snow mixture looms over the Northeast beginning late Tuesday night over western New York and spreading east on Wednesday. Buffalo could pick up between 3" to as much as 8" of wet snow - 1-3" of wet, slushy snow is possible along the coast around the city of New York as well before the storm moves away early on Thursday. Behind this storm system temperatures will be rather chilly - highs ranging in the 30s and 40s with lingering snow flurries on Thursday night. Fair but cold weather will be with us on Friday and Saturday, it will be a good time for traveling. The rest of the weekend looks to remain chilly, I am monitoring the potential for another storm system early next week that could produce more flooding rain and/or snow for the region around Sunday and next Monday, hopefully this system stays far enough south to spare the region. The extended forecast calls for a prolonged period of chilly weather as High Pressure over Canada allow for cold air to flow into the Northeast.

Weather synopsis: Thursday March 17

Happy St. Patrick's Day!
11:11pm cooler winds are blowing across the Northeast as a cold front makes an early appearance on Friday afternoon. High temperatures will range in the 40s and 50s across western and upstate New York and northern New England, with the exception of the Northeastern seaboard - here temperatures will rise into the 60s and 70s with mostly sunny skies ahead of an approaching cold front. The weekend looks fair; highs will range in the 40s and 50s. The next chance of precipitation will arrive on Monday and Tuesday as more rain showers will begin to affect the region.

Weather synopsis: Wednesday March 16

11:39pm fair weather will reconquer the region on Thursday - ample sun shine is in the forecast with afternoon high temperatures soaring well into the 50's and 60's. It will fell like spring on Friday with daytime high temperatures climbing into the 60's and 70's. Brilliant sun shine is expected on Friday for most of the Northeast with the exception of a few hit and miss showers over the eastern Great Lakes and northern New England. Then it looks like slightly cooler temperatures will try to work their way back in to the Northeast on Saturday and Sunday.

Weather synopsys: Tuesday March 15

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11:11pm after a pleasant start to the work week another storm system will bring more unsettled conditions to the flood stricken Northeast. This quick moving storm system should cool temperatures down slightly on Wednesday with a chilly rain before the noon hour. Precipitation will be heaviest towards the coast as there could be embedded thunder storms with in the showers. The storm system will move out just as fast as it came in as fair weather reconquers the region on Thursday - ample sun shine is in the forecast with afternoon high temperatures soaring well into the 50's and 60's. It will fell like spring on Friday with daytime high temperatures climbing into the 60's and 70's. Brilliant sun shine is expected on Friday for most of the Northeast with the exception of a few hit and miss showers over the eastern Great Lakes and northern New England. Then it looks like slightly cooler temperatures will try to work their way back in to the Northeast on Saturday and Sunday.

Devastating tsunami hits Japan

Weather synopsis: Wednesday March 9

6:24pm unsettled weather is affecting the region once again, heavy rain will promt concerenes of flooding for portions of the Northeast. Rain will continue on Thurday as a storm system progresses east towards the coast. Unsettled conditions are expected to continue on Friday with the heaviest precipitation reaching the coast overnight Thursday and early morning Friday. Behind this system there will be a chillier air mass that will try and infiltrate the region. This should produce light snow flurries and snow showers over the Great Lakes this weekend with improving conditions elsewhere in the Northeast beyond Saturday. Beyond the weekend, my extended forecast calls for another pleasent start to the work week with fair weather and average temperatures.

Weather synopsis: Saturday March 5

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5:44pm Rain will reach the Atlantic late Sunday evening, a cold front will trail the precipitation and colder air will rush in behind the front changing rain to snow before ending over interior sections of the region on Sunday - Buffalo could see between 2 inches to as much as 8" of snow by Sunday afternoon, precipitation will remain in the form of rain along the coast and will be heavy at times with embedded thunderstorms possible. Rain will come down in buckets especially on Sunday night from the Jersey Shore to southern New England. After this storm departs by Monday morning cloudy skies will give way to mostly sunny conditions. The extended forecast calls for chili conditions during the first half of next week however it wont be as cold as we have been this winter, temperatures will range in the 30s and 40s with fair weather through the middle of the week until the next storm system begins to impact the region around Wednesday and Thursday.

Weather synopsis: Friday March 4

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10:10pm rain will spread the Northeast region this weekend. Rain has already started to fall in western portions of the region including Buffalo, NY. Rain will spread east this weekend and will reach the Atlantic by late Sunday evening. A cold front will trail the precipitation this weekend, colder air will rush in behind the front changing rain to snow before ending over interior sections of the region on Sunday - Buffalo could pick up a quick 2" of snow by Sunday afternoon, precipitation will remain in the form of rain along the coast. The extended forecast calls for chili conditions during the first half of next week however it wont be cold, temperatures will range in the 30s and 40s with fair weather through the middle of the week until the next storm system begins to impact the region around Wednesday.

Weather synopsis: Wednesday March 2

Weather synopsis: Thursday February 24

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11:11pm a powerful storm system will plow through the region on Friday, this system will produce heavy rain and strong winds gusting over 40 miles per hour along the coast with heavy snow further inland. Snowfall rates of up to 2" per hour are likely over western New York State during the height of the storm between 7:00am through 2:00pm. Snow accumulations will range between 4" to as much as one foot in Buffalo. Along with the heavy snow, winds gusting to 35 miles per hour will drop visibilities to around a 1/4 mile or less producing white out conditions. During this same time frame, heavy rain will affect the Atlantic coast. Combined with a deep snow pack, rain could create issues of urban and small stream flooding. Strong winds will also be an issue. Wind gust of up to 60 miles per hour could knock down trees and cause wide spread damage. Precipitation will subside in the evening.

Weather synopsis: Monday February 21

8:35pm The extended forecast calls for a continuation of the cold weather this week, forecast highs will be in the 20s and 30s through out the week - though it will be cold, a High Pressure system will produce clear skies thus the higher angle of the sun as we come closer towards spring will produce a brilliant sunshine during the daytime through the middle of the week. High temperatures will reach the 40s on Thursday. Then another storm system will be in the works late in the week. The cyclone genesis of this storm is yet to be determined - nevertheless, this next system may bring more Ice, snow and wind to the Northeast late this week on Friday and Saturday.

Weather synopsis: Sunday February 20

12:14pm a winter storm will affect the Northeast tonight and tomorrow. This storm system will produce a heavy snowfall across interior portions of the Northeast this evening into Monday morning - snow will mix with rain and sleet along the coast on Monday limiting snow accumulations. 3-6" of snow is possible in Buffalo by Monday Morning with lesser amounts as you head towards the Atlantic seaboard ~2-5" expected in and around New York City. The extended forecast calls for a continuation of the cold weather this week, forecast highs will be in the 20s and 30s through out the week - though it will be cold, a High Pressure system will produce clear skies thus the higher angle of the sun as we come closer towards spring will produce a brilliant sunshine during the daytime through the middle of the week. High temperatures will reach the 40s on Thursday. Then another storm system will be in the works late in the week. The cyclone genesis of this storm is yet to be determined - nevertheless, this next system may bring more Ice, snow and wind to the Northeast late this week on Friday and Saturday.