U.S. National Radar

Comet Ison Viewing Guide

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Weather synopsis for Semptember 29, 2009


At 3:00pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 59°F under partly sunny skies. Man what a soaker we had here yesterday. The storm system I've been monitoring for the part week produced a ton of rain in the area, reports came in from Williamsville of 3.78" of rain! Buffalo at the airport reported 3.71" of rain. This was all thanks to a frontal system which barrelled through on Monday. The storm produced heavy rain and thunderstorms along with very windy conditions. Once the storm exited the area the winds behind the storm's associated cold front produced heavy Lake-effect rain with embedded thunderstorms. Winds were sustained at 20-30MPH with gusts as high as 50MPH! We do have lingering Lake-effect rain off lake Erie all thanks to the on going wind and it will hang around through Wednesday so expect at least a chance of rain. Tonight it will be cold, Lows will dip down to the upper 30s and lower 40s. Frost could develop in the valleys where readings reach the 30's. So far this up coming weekend is looking damp with increased chances for rain.

Monday, September 28, 2009

Weather synopsis for September 28, 2009


Its is 54°F in Buffalo, NY under gloomy cloudy skies. Boy what a miserable day it is weather wise, We've had heavy rain all day and expecting the rain to continue through Tuesday. There is a stiff wind from the west at around 20-25MPH gusting to 31MPH right now. A front is passing over the area creating a tight pressure gradient between a low over the northern Great Lakes and a high in the Midwest resulting in strong and gusty winds here in Buffalo. With the passage of this frontal system forecast indicated a cold air intrusion that will continue through the week, so cool temperatures are expected. Tonight expect the rain to continue and it will be heavy at times, low temperatures will hover around 50°F. Tuesday expect similar conditions, rain lingers with heavier downpours from time to time, high temperatures will range from 50°-55°F and lows will dip to 40°-45°F.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Weather synopsis for September 27, 2009


Currently at 7:00pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 63°F under partly cloudy skies. It was a chilly and breezy day with clouds preventing the sun from shinning, we had some light rain earlier today associated with a section of moisture courtesy of a low pressure system riding up the eastern seaboard. Tonight expect lingering clouds and increasing winds, lows will be around 55°F. Tomorrow we will see more rain as a new system approaches. This will be a dynamic storm system, winds tomorrow will be sustained around 35MPH with gusts over 50MPH very likely. Rain will be steady and could be heavy at times especially within some embedded thunderstorms. High temperatures will remain around 60°F with lows in the upper 40s. NCEP forecast models indicate more rain through Wednesday along with much cooler temperatures.

Saturday, September 26, 2009

Weather synopsis for Semptermber 26, 2009


Conditions at 4:20pm in Buffalo, NY are rather damp with a steady light rain falling and a temperature of 60°F. Rain along with embedded thundershowers have invaded the region with the approach of a low pressure system to the south. Tonight the rain will remain in the picture and likely to continue through Sunday morning. Forecast models indicate that chances for precipitation will linger through Wednesday with the best chance for a steady rain arriving on Monday. Lows tonight will remain around 60°F.

Friday, September 25, 2009

Weather synopsis for Semptermber 25, 2009


At 12:30pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 59°F under a mostly cloudy sky. Today is cooler than yesterday as a cold air mass has infiltrated the area. Today's high temperature will be in the lower 60's to 65°F and skies will become partly cloudy. Tonight will be mostly clear with temperatures between 40°F and 50°F, some of the valleys in the area will drop to the 30's tonight and could see frost developing. On Saturday clouds will become more numerous as a system approaches with rain likely by the afternoon. According so NCEP forecast models, we will see multiple chances for rain through mid-next week as we'll see a series o storm systems affect the region. As of today the heaviest rain is likely to fall Monday afternoon and evening with a vigorous cold front plows though the region. Behind the front temperatures will take a tumble as a cold air intrusion will over take the area. To summarize, rain moves in to the picture Saturday with the heaviest precipitation arriving by Monday and autumn cold will be felt throughout.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Weather synopsis for September 24, 2009


At 3:15pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 70°F with a mostly cloudy to overcast sky. A cold front has moved to the east bringing dryer conditions to the region. Tonight skies will be clearing and lows will dip between 45° and 53°F. Friday is shaping up to be a pleasant day with clear skies and a high temperature around 65°F. I wish I could say the same for the weekend however as gray skies are likely along with possible rain showers once again. According to NCEP forecast models we could be affected by two storm systems within the time frame of this weekend and the middle of next week. Along with a prolonged period of precipitation, these storm systems will be lowering our temperatures with high temperatures in the 50's.

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Fall Foliage Update


Today is the first full day of Autumn. The season began yesterday at 5:18pm local time with the Autumnal Equinox. Nature is already responding to the change of seasons. I've noticed patchy fall colors begin to appear on the trees in the area. The normal peak time for fall colors for the region typically arrives around the first two weeks of the month of October before the leaves become a dry and lifeless brown. With October just around the corner and the decrease in daylight in the days to come along with the chilly fall temperatures nature is beginning to display her stunning hues. As of the 24th of September most New England and the eastern Great Lakes have been reporting patchy colors on the trees with near peak conditions across extreme northern New England and in to the Mohawk Valley and Adirondacks in New York.

Weather synopsis for September 23, 2009


At 1:15pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 72°F with overcast skies with light drizzle in the area. We've been overcast for the majority of the day here in Buffalo as we had a frontal boundary become stationary east of the region yesterday. Now we have a front which will sweep through and clear up our skies, but until then we will remain overcast with a 30% chance of precipitation. Tonight, mostly cloudy skies and diminishing rain chances. Low temperatures tonight will hover around the 60°F mark. A much better day is on tap for tomorrow with dryer conditions, temperatures are going to top out around 70°F. Cooler weather expected this weekend with increasing chances for rain.

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

The Greenhouse Effect, Global Warming and Climate Change

Unless you've lived under a rock for the past decade I am sure we've all heard about Global Warming and Climate Change. Over the past few decades the world has observed a series of changes in the natural systems of planet Earth that have never been observed as far as our record indicate. These changes are attributed to the phenomenon of Global Warming. Global Warming is the term that is used to illustrate the overall increase in the average temperature at the surface of planet Earth. There has been increase of 1.4°F in temperature observed of since 1880. This may seem minuscule, but the truth of the matter is that even a small increase in global temperature can have a profound effect on climate and our delicate biosphere. It is an indisputable fact, backed by scientific research and by visible changes, that Global Warming is a very real phenomenon that is affecting our planet.
The Greenhouse Effect is the process by which our planet keeps warm. If not for the Greenhouse Effect, Earth would be a much colder and desolate place. Greenhouse gasses like CO2 are naturally occurring in the atmosphere. These gases trap heat generated by solar radiation keeping the temperature at a comfortable level at which all life on Earth has adapted to. Scientific records has indicated an increase in the levels of many Greenhouse gasses since the end of the last Ice Age. However, Since the Industrial Revolution in the middle to late 1700's, Greenhouse gasses, most notably CO2, have increased exponentially. Geologic records indicate that there is a correlation between the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere and the overall temperature of the planet. Research has discovered that the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere and the over all temperature of the planet are directly proportional. As more CO2 is present in the atmosphere, the temperature of Earth increases. This occurs naturally with erupting volcanoes, however Mankind has been adding CO2 in excess amount on top of what is already a naturally occurring process. This is known as the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect. This, in correlation with deforestation and globalisation, is warming our planet to the brink. If we observe planet Venus we can see the end result crossing the brink. A runaway Greenhouse Effect can take place. This runaway effect has vaporised the oceans and atmosphere of Venus.
The warming that is occurring is responsible for the change in climate on Earth. Severe weather events that normally occur in low frequency are being enhanced. We are seeing an increase in the number of severe weather events as well of the intensities of these storms. This month there has been an unusual set up in the weather pattern across the U.S. The jet stream has been displaced far north. Low pressure systems have become cut off from the jet stream flow and become practically stationary over portions of the Southeast bringing prolonged periods of rain. This rain has also been very intense, this combination has led to grave historical flooding. In 2005 the Atlantic Ocean saw a record 28 named storms! 15 hurricanes, 7 major hurricanes. Compare that to the average of 10 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes in a typical Atlantic hurricane season. In 2005 there has also been a record in terms of the severity of these storms. 4 storms in 2005 reached category 5 strength, the highest category delegated to hurricanes. One very notable storm was Hurricane Katrina which claimed 1800 lives and caused $81 billion in damage, the costliest hurricane by far to affect the U.S. Also in 2005 the strongest hurricane ever to form in the Atlantic basin was observed. Hurricane Wilma experience what is know as rapid intensification. Within a 30 hour period Wilma intensified from a category 2 hurricane to the most intense hurricane ever in the Atlantic basin. The lowest minimum central pressure recorded was 882mb with maximum sustained winds over 175MPH. In the winter of 2001- 2002 record warmth over the Northeastern U.S. kept the great lake from freezing. This allowed historic amounts of lake effect snow to be deposited throughout the Great Lakes region. In Buffalo, NY a record 7 feet of snow fell within the span of a few days. In locations around Oswego, NY over 11 feet of snow! fell within a weeks time.



Warmer temperatures also warm up the Oceans. Ocean currents that displace heat to the poles are causing an unprecedented increase of the rate of melting of the Arctic and Antarctic ice sheets. This in its self poses major problems with elevated sea levels. Ocean waters absorb heat. one property of water is that if heat is added it causes the water to expand in area raising sea levels worldwide, this is known as Thermal Expansion. The melt water from the poles is already causing rising sea levels world wide. This is very alarming as approximately 50% of the 6.5 billion people on Earth live with in 50 miles of of the coast. As these fresh water glaciers melt it will also have an effect on the salinity of Ocean waters. This can cause an interruption or even a shut down of Ocean currents resulting in stark climate change.

Global Warming also affects the habitats of all living things on Earth. This is currently leading to an increase in disease. Disease carrying mosquitoes, which require warm and wet environments are now emerging closer to the polar latitudes as environments become warmer. The spread of the West Nile virus around the world is evidence of this.
Global Warming is a major problem for this generation and generations to come. The cause of Global Warming has been attributed to natural processes of Earth and enhanced by Mankind. However, new research suggest that the Earth isn't the only member of the solar system experiencing warming. In fact it is believed that all of the planets in our solar system are warming, the cause of which still perplexes me and the rest of the scientific community. Could it be that Global Warming is also linked to factors beyond our own atmosphere?

Weather synopsis for September 22, 2009

At 12:20pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 70°F with overcast skies on this first day of autumn. A frontal boundary has moved through the region which produced rain. This rain has broken the dry spell we've been under since late August. The front has become stationary east of Buffalo so we can't rule out some scattered precipitation for the rest of today. Its going to be a warm day with high temperatures forecast in the 75°- 80°F range, approximately 10° above average for this time of the year. Tonight, clouds will linger and a we'll have slight chance of precipitation with lows in the lower 60's. We will be drying out tomorrow as the clouds dissipate, however temperatures will remain above average. So far the weekend is looking to be damp as more rain moves in to the region, temperatures this weekend will become milder and closer to the average.

Monday, September 21, 2009

Weather synopsis for September 21, 2009


At 12:40pm the temperature in Buffalo, NY is 75°F under partly cloudy skies. Rain is in the forecast today with a storm system approaching from the southwest. Our best chance for precipitation wont be until later on today and anything that does fall will be light and wont amount to much. Tonight expect some light rain showers with lows in the lower 60's. The rain should stick around until around noon time Tuesday, but after the precipitation moves out of the area expect clearing skies. We'll see temperatures in the 70's this week then cooling by the end of the week.

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Weather synopsis for September 20, 2009


At 4:00pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 76°F under mostly sunny skies. It is a noticeably warmer day with a southerly wind flow behind a high pressure system that has moved off to our east. Low temperatures tonight will bottom out in the 55°-60°F range. Expect an increase in cloud coverage as we start the work week as well as an outbreak of precipitation. Thunderstorms are likely tomorrow with warmer weather and increased moisture and instability. The rain should stick around most of the week, but the weekend is looking to be fair but cool with temperatures returning to average.

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Weather synopsis for September 19, 2009

Currently at 12:30pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 58­°F with crystal clear skies. Its going to be an great day today with a forecast high of 65°F. We can attribute the gorgeous weather to a high pressure system aloft providing sinking air which limits cloud formation. Last night low temperatures dipped between 32°F and 40°F as we experienced the radiational cooling affect by the high pressure aloft. Tonight's temperatures will be cool once again, ranging in the 30's and 40's once again. Sunday will be another great day weather wise, however temperatures will be moderating as the high pressure system moves east of the region setting up a southerly wind flow ushering in warm temperatures. Increasing clouds sunday night and rain moves into the picture as we start our work week. This will be much needed rain as we've been without it since August 29th.

Friday, September 18, 2009

Weather synopsis for September 18, 2009

Currently at 12:30pm the temperature is 64°F in Buffalo, NY with overcast skies. Light rain is possible east of the city with the passage of a weak front from the north but shouldn't amount to much. This cold front will keep temperatures slightly below average for saturday, but will give us a good deal of fair weather through the weekend. By sunday temperatures will moderate to above average. Tonight low temperatures will range between 40°F and 47°F throughout the region. The next real chance of precipitation will be early next week. Temperatures will start off above average next week then right around average by late week.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Weather synopsis for September 17, 2009

Currently at 4:00pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 68°F under mostly sunny skies. We can still feel a chill in the air due to the cool airmass from Canada, however temperatures are running right around average for the day. Tonight low temperatures will drop to the upper 40's to lower 50's range again. This weekend is shaping up to be superb with fair weather. The weekend will start on a cool note but by Sunday temperatures will moderate to above average readings. Next week is looking unsettled with several chances for rain through hump day. Temperatures next week will start off above average, but we'll see another dip in the thermometer by middle to late next week.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

The World Meteorological Organization projects Ozone hole smaller in 2009 than 2008

Ozone hole smaller in 2009 than 2008: WMO

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Weather synopsis for September 16, 2009

Currently at 1:00pm it is 63°F in Buffalo, NY under mostly cloudy skies. There is a noticeable chill in the air as yesterday's cold front has introduced a colder airmass to the area. Low temperatures tonight are projected to be in the upper 40's to middle 50's range across western New York State. The weekend is shaping up to be cool but fair as far as the weather is concerned. NCEP forecast models indicate unsettled conditions for next week with several chances for precipitation. Along with a chance for rain next week I am anticipating below average temperatures due to increased cloud coverage as well as cool air intrusions from Canada.

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Weather synopsis for September 15, 2009

Currently at 4:20pm in Buffalo, NY the temperature is 72°F under mostly sunny skies. Tonight low temperatures will dip between 47°-54°F throughout the region. We can expect to see cooler temperatures for the next few days as a Cold Front associated with an upper-level low pressure system has sweep to the south of the region. According to NCEP forcast models, the next real chance of precipitation wont come untill early next week so fair and chillier weather is expected this weekend. Forcast models also indicated a deep frontal feature that has the potential to usher in below average temperatures by the middle to later part of next week.

Monday, September 14, 2009

Hurricane Season 2009 as of September 14th



Seven Tropical systems have formed so far in the Atlantic basin, here is a summary:

1. Tropical Depression One May 28-29

Maximum sustained winds: 35MPH

Minimum central pressure: 1006mb

TD1 formed to the south of Long Island and east of the Delmarva Peninsula. The system then took a northeasterly path along the Gulfstream, moving into a less favorable environment. Eventually the system fell apart.

2. Tropical Stoma Ana Aug 15-17

Maximum sustained winds: 40MPH

Minimum central pressure: 1004mb

TS Ana developed from a tropical wave well east of the Leeward Islands. It organized in to a tropical depression then quickly strengthened in to a minimal tropical storm. With conditions becoming less favorable, Ana was downgraded to back to a tropical depression before impacting the Leeward Islands with showers and gusty winds. Once in the Caribbean, the mountain terrains of the Dominican Republic inhibited its development and a final advisory was issued.

3. Hurricane Bill (Category 4) Aug 15-24

Maximum sustained winds: 135MPH

Minimum central pressure: 943mb

HU Bill emerged as a tropical wave just west of Cape Verde. In favorable conditions the system became more organized into a tropical depression. When its central winds reached 40MPH it became a tropical storm. As the system continued west it fell under the influence of a High pressure system to the north which began to steer Bill in a northwesterly direction. With little wind shear and warm waters the system began to intensify. On Aug 17th its central winds were sustained at 75MPH becoming a category 1 hurricane. Still east of the Leeward Islands well away from land, HU Bill continued its northwesterly track under the guiding influence of the High pressure system to the north. As favorable conditions prevailed, HU Bill intensified to a category 2 hurricane on Aug 18th with central winds exceeding 100MPH. The next day HU Bill evolved into a major hurricane with winds up and over 125MPH. That same day; with a healthy out flow generated by High pressure aloft, it strengthened to a category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 135MPH and curving just north of the Leeward Islands. As HU Bill continues northwestward tracking well north of the Caribbean it begins to lose some of its punch, weakening to a category 3 with winds up to 125MPH. The steering influence of the Bermuda High begins to move HU Bill on a more north than east track. HU Bill, now over cooler waters begins to weaken further. On Aug 22nd HU Bill is downgraded to a category 2 hurricane with winds up to 105MPH. The island of Bermuda begins to see the impacts of HU Bill encountering heavy downpours and storm force winds. Now HU Bill begins to track due north, positioned west of Bermuda and east of the eastern coastline. As HU Bill parallels the east coast it stirs up the waters from New England to the South East with high swells and dangerous rip currents. By Aug 23rd HU Bill is downgraded to a category 1 hurricane and moves north east under the influence of the Bermuda High and the Gulf Stream eventually making land fall in Nova Scotia and Newfoundland on Aug 23rd. Eventually HU Bill moves over the cooler open waters of the north Atlantic, weakens to a tropical storm and becomes extra-tropical in nature.

4. Tropical Storm Claudette Aug 16-17

Maximum sustained winds: 50MPH

Minimum central pressure: 1006mb

TS Claudette began as a disturbance over the eastern Gulf of Mexico just west of Tampa. With a closed circulation at the surface it was dubbed a tropical depression on Aug 16th. Later that day it strengthened to a minimal tropical storm with winds up to 50MPH. The system tracked towards the north west and made landfall on the panhandle of Florida bringing with it gusty winds and heavy downpours to location along the eastern Gulf of Mexico coastline.

5. Tropical Storm Danny Aug 26-29

Maximum sustained winds: 60MPH

Minimum central pressure: 1006mb

TS Danny formed to the north of the Bahamas. It began to get more organized with central winds reaching 60MPH on Aug 27th. Later that day, the system encountered heavy wind shear and became less organized with the majority of the storm activity involved being sheered off to the northeast of the center of circulation. By Aug 29th, the storm is downgraded to a tropical depression on its final advisory. Its proximity to the Southeast coast churned up the waters and posed a threat of rip currents from Florida to the Carolinas.

6. Tropical Storm Erika Sep 1-4
Maximum sustained winds: 60MPH

Minimum central pressure: 1004mb

TS Erika developed just east of the Lesser Antilles as it tracked westward it brought along heavy rains and gusty winds to region. Over the less favorable Caribbean it continued to weaken and downgraded to a tropical depression.

7. Hurricane Fred (Category 3) Sep 7-12

Maximum sustained winds: 120MPH

Minimum central pressure: 958mb

HU Fred emerged as a healthy wave off the African coast. On Sep 7th, Hurricane Reconnaissance aircraft information showed this wave had a closed center of circulation making the system a tropical depression. The next day central winds reached tropical storm force. As the system continued westward it is influenced by a frontal system to the north. This influences the track of HU Fred to curve in a more northerly direction, and with favorable conditions the storm becomes a category 1 hurricane with 75MPH winds by Sep 9th. That same night, the system undergoes rapid intensification and strengthens to a category 3 hurricane with central winds up to 120MPH becoming the second major hurricane of the season. Over the next three days, HU Fred encounters severe wind shear. The majority of the storms involved with the hurricane are sheered to the north, away from the center of circulation. Eventually the storm weakens to tropical depression status and a final advisory is written.

Weather synopsis for September 14, 2009

Currently at 2pm the temperature is 71°F in Buffalo, NY and forcasting a high temperature of 76°F. This is 4° above the average for today. Skies will remain partly cloudy for the rest of the afternoon. Temperatures tonight will range from 50°F-60°F throughout the area. The weather in the Great Lakes and Northeast is being dominated by a High pressure system which will continue to produce fair weather through mid-week.